2026 FIFA World Cup
Third Place Dashboard

Updated Daily

Current third-place standings

#GrpTeamPldWDLGFGAGDPts
1FSwedenSWE21016603
2CScotlandSCO21011103
3LCroatiaCRO210134-13
4JAlgeriaALG210124-23
5DParaguayPAR210124-23
6HCape VerdeCPV20202202
7GBelgiumBEL20201102
8ACzech RepublicCZE201123-11
9KDR CongoCOD201112-11
10EEcuadorECU201101-11
11BBosnia and HerzegovinaBIH201125-31
12ISenegalSEN200236-30

Projected third-place standings · most likely

#GrpTeamPldWDLGFGAGDPts
1FSwedenSWE31117704
2KDR CongoCOD31112204
3LGhanaGHA31111104
4BBosnia and HerzegovinaBIH311135-24
5JAlgeriaALG311135-24
6DParaguayPAR311124-24
7ISenegalSEN310246-23
8CScotlandSCO310213-23
9ACzech RepublicCZE302134-12
10HUruguayURU302134-12
11GIranIRN302123-12
12EEcuadorECU302112-12

Qualification odds by team

Tap any team for its final-game odds and what each result means for advancing.

TeamGrpFinish 3rdAdvance as 3rdAdvance
ScotlandSCOC90.5%
68.6%
78.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIHB83.4%
63.7%
63.8%
SenegalSENI88.8%
63.0%
63.0%
SwedenSWEF67.1%
62.9%
95.8%
GhanaGHAL62.3%
62.3%
100.0%
AlgeriaALGJ71.5%
58.0%
86.6%
ParaguayPARD67.9%
57.9%
90.0%
DR CongoCODK68.0%
43.0%
43.2%
CroatiaCROL37.6%
34.2%
96.6%
JapanJPNF32.2%
32.2%
100.0%
IranIRNG63.7%
28.4%
62.2%
AustraliaAUSD32.1%
26.6%
94.5%
EgyptEGYG26.4%
26.4%
100.0%
AustriaAUTJ28.5%
24.4%
95.8%
EcuadorECUE86.8%
20.8%
22.2%
UruguayURUH68.9%
18.4%
36.7%
Czech RepublicCZEA54.1%
17.0%
21.1%
QatarQATB16.5%
16.5%
16.5%
South KoreaKORA19.2%
15.5%
91.8%
UzbekistanUZBK31.8%
9.5%
9.5%
Cape VerdeCPVH20.6%
9.4%
65.8%
BrazilBRAC9.1%
9.1%
100.0%
BelgiumBELG6.7%
5.7%
94.9%
SpainESPH4.8%
4.8%
100.0%
IraqIRQI11.2%
4.7%
4.7%
Saudi ArabiaKSAH5.6%
4.7%
34.7%
South AfricaRSAA26.8%
4.1%
23.8%
Ivory CoastCIVE4.6%
3.8%
97.8%
New ZealandNZLG3.2%
1.7%
5.1%
CuraçaoCUWE8.6%
1.3%
6.0%
NetherlandsNEDF0.7%
0.7%
100.0%
MoroccoMARC0.4%
0.4%
100.0%
PortugalPORK0.2%
0.2%
100.0%

Chance each group advances a 3rd-place team

GroupProbability a 3rd-place team advances
L
96.6%
F
95.8%
D
84.5%
J
82.4%
B
80.3%
C
78.1%
I
67.7%
G
62.2%
K
52.7%
H
37.3%
A
36.6%
E
25.9%

What a points total is worth for a 3rd-place team

4 pts
99.9%
3 pts
76.4%
2 pts
6.2%
1 pt
0.0%